Textile

MONTECARLO

Monte Carlo Fashions Ltd.

Caution — weak structure

Early Trend
Stage 2 VCP active Handle

Setup readiness

Early Trend

7.0/100
Entry Zone
₹583.5-616.7
Support Level
₹582.0
Resistance
₹736.3
Risk / Reward
3.5 : 1
Risk Distance
5.6% to stop

Reference levels for educational study only. Not a recommendation to buy or sell.

RS
44.0
ADX
13.0
Vol
0.0

Swing Edge Intelligence

Structured setup analysis · research only

Setup status · Weak structure

Trend, relative strength and distribution characteristics suggest limited breakout quality.

Relative strength Weak
Breakout readiness Low
Accumulation Distribution pressure

Bullish factors

  • Price trades below the long-term trend anchor (200DMA).
  • Moderate distance from 52w high (-35% below).
  • Relative strength remains below leadership thresholds.
  • 1 prior pivot rejection in last 60d (-8 pts).
  • ATR shrinking 4 consecutive weeks — coil tightening precisely.
  • BB squeeze — energy building.
  • MACD positive and rising — confirmation only (no bonus).
  • Pivot type: sloppy — lower follow-through expected.
  • Distribution pressure visible across recent sessions.

Risk factors

  • 6 distribution days recently — institutional selling
  • Heavy overhead supply (66%) — trapped sellers above
  • Elevated failure risk (66/100)

Why not 100?

  • RS rank is below elite leadership band (<90)
  • Volume quality is not in top confirmation range yet

Overall view

Broader structure continues to reflect distribution rather than sustained demand. Overall setup quality remains limited despite any localized compression or accumulation cues.

Trade management framework

Research framework only. Use your own risk controls.

  • If price moves +1R, consider reducing downside by moving stop closer to entry.
  • If price reaches around +1.5R to +2R, consider partial profit booking (for example 20-30%).
  • If trend extends beyond +2R, consider trailing below a fast trend reference (for example 21 EMA).
Size this trade

Setup research

MONTECARLO — trend, RS & risk snapshot (not a trade recommendation)

Signal · context · invalidation · risk · skip reasons — research only

D
37/100 Low-quality — likely skip

Why now

Building toward the pivot (9% below)

  • Handle formed after the prior advance
  • Confirmed Stage 2 uptrend

Flagged today

Context & regime

  • Market regime Mixed / range-bound
  • Trend stage Stage 2 — tradable
  • Sector RS Lagging group
  • Relative strength Lagging (RS 44)
  • Trend strength Weak (ADX 13)

What invalidates it

This idea is wrong below ₹582.0 (-3.8% away)

Base / stop support breaks — the swing thesis is wrong below here

  • Stop / base low₹582.0
  • Pivot — failure re-entry below₹613.6

Risk distance

5.6% to stop
1.8× ATR
3.5× R:R
19.4% reward

Risk ≈ ₹34.68/share from entry ₹616.7.

Reasons to skip 3

Disqualifiers that apply even if the score looks good.

  • 6 distribution days recently — institutional selling
  • Heavy overhead supply (66%) — trapped sellers above
  • Elevated failure risk (66/100)

MONTECARLO Support & Resistance Levels

Trader brief

What to understand

MONTECARLO Entry, Stop-Loss & Targets

Research heuristic · not a buy/sell call

Low scanner score suggests weak or incomplete structure. Use this page for context, not as a primary trade candidate until the score and trend improve.

Setup quality Weak · 7.0
Entry readiness Early / wait · 40
AI insights

AI Insights

Generated with AI

These insights are AI-generated to support your research process and should not be treated as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

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Pattern context 52w · setup · flow

52-week range

Stage-2 ideal band  ·  Early recovery

Setup highlights

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Pattern signals from the latest scan

Smart money flow

Last 60 sessions · accumulation vs distribution

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Session flow 60 trading days
OBV trend On-balance volume · same window
·
Accumulation Distribution Neutral
Setup intelligence Overhead · VCP · radar · risk

Overhead supply

Resistance ceiling above current price

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Chase / failure risk

Honest read on exhaustion & extended moves

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Base / VCP coil

Depth, contractions & pivot distance

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Setup quality radar

Shape of the setup in one view

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Setup metrics Weak

MONTECARLO Technical Analysis & Swing Setup

Grouped structure, momentum and risk from the latest research scan.

Weak · 6.7
Volume Profile bullish
POC₹550.13
VAH₹586.4
VAL₹530.49
Vol above POC59.3%
Institutional Activity — Distribution
Avg cost basis₹543.32
Acc zone₹499.1–584.9
Accumulation Sessions1
CMF-0.23

Structure

Trend / stage
Stage 2 (Early)
Stage 2
RS rank
44.0
Weakening
ADX
13.0
Weak

Momentum

RSI
55.0
Strong
Volume quality
0.0
Thin
Relative strength
Lagging
Neutral

Risk

Failure risk
66.0
High risk
Distribution
6 day(s)
Distribution
Volatility
5 VCP
Contracting
More scanner fields
Sector RS 0.0%
Base 16w · 24.4%
VCP waves 5x
Vol dry-up No
Avg value ₹2.2 Cr
Failure flags Distribution cluster, Overhead supply, RS laggard, Thin liquidity
Peer comparison Sector peers

Sector Peer Comparison

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MONTECARLO FAQ Common swing-trading questions

Frequently asked questions about MONTECARLO

Is MONTECARLO a good swing trade right now?

On Swing Edge's swing-setup framework, Monte Carlo Fashions Ltd. (MONTECARLO) currently grades D — low-quality — likely skip. Building toward the pivot (9% below). Flagged today. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What are MONTECARLO's support and resistance levels?

For MONTECARLO, near-term support sits around ₹582.0 (the base/stop zone); overhead resistance is around ₹613.6 (the breakout pivot); the next resistance above is ₹736.3. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What is the breakout / pivot level for MONTECARLO?

The breakout pivot for MONTECARLO is around ₹613.6. Price is about 8.6% below the pivot and still building toward it. A breakout is typically confirmed on a close above the pivot with above-average volume. This is educational research, not investment advice.

Is MONTECARLO above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

Yes — MONTECARLO is in a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend, trading above its rising 50- and 200-day moving averages, the zone where swing setups tend to work best. This is educational research, not investment advice.

How strong is MONTECARLO versus the market (RS rank)?

MONTECARLO has a relative strength (RS) rank of 44 out of 100 versus the NSE universe, making it lagging the broader market on relative strength. Trend strength (ADX) reads 13, indicating a weak/choppy trend. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What are the entry, stop-loss and target levels for MONTECARLO?

Reference swing levels for MONTECARLO: entry around ₹616.7, stop-loss around ₹582.0, targets at ₹736.3 and ₹803.2. That works out to roughly a 3.5:1 reward-to-risk on the first target. These are reference levels for study only — this is educational research, not investment advice.

Answers are generated from Swing Edge's latest scan data and are for research only — not investment advice.

Prices and day-change figures use the last daily close from scan data dated 2026-06-19 — not live intraday NSE quotes.