IT - Hardware

NELCO

Nelco Ltd.

Wait and Watch

Extended
Stage 2 RS leader VCP active

Setup readiness

Extended

31.0/100
Entry Zone
₹919.4-770.7
Support Level
₹698.9
Resistance
₹920.3
Risk / Reward
2.1 : 1
Risk Distance
9.3% to stop

Reference levels for educational study only. Not a recommendation to buy or sell.

RS
76.0
ADX
39.0
Vol
41.0

Swing Edge Intelligence

Structured setup analysis · research only

Setup status · Developing setup

Some constructive elements are present, but leadership and breakout quality remain mixed.

Relative strength Constructive
Breakout readiness Low
Accumulation Constructive

Bullish factors

  • Reasonable 52w-high proximity (-19% below).
  • Recent extension is still active — base formation may need more time.
  • 1 prior pivot rejection in last 60d (-8 pts).
  • MACD positive and rising — confirmation only (no bonus).
  • Pivot type: sloppy — lower follow-through expected.
  • RSI 86 — hot.
  • Price has built a constructive advance from the 52-week low.
  • Recent volume expansion — institutional participation may be returning.
  • Volume flow suggests quiet institutional accumulation.

Risk factors

  • Extended 23% past the pivot — chasing risk
  • Stop is 9% away — too wide to size well for a swing
  • 3 distribution days recently — institutional selling

Why not 100?

  • RS rank is below elite leadership band (<90)
  • Volume quality is not in top confirmation range yet
  • Price is extended 22.6% above pivot zone

Overall view

Short-term accumulation is visible, though it should be weighed against trend and RS context. The setup is still developing — leadership and trend alignment need further confirmation.

Trade management framework

Research framework only. Use your own risk controls.

  • If price moves +1R, consider reducing downside by moving stop closer to entry.
  • If price reaches around +1.5R to +2R, consider partial profit booking (for example 20-30%).
  • If trend extends beyond +2R, consider trailing below a fast trend reference (for example 21 EMA).
Size this trade

Setup research

NELCO — trend, RS & risk snapshot (not a trade recommendation)

Signal · context · invalidation · risk · skip reasons — research only

C
40/100 Mixed — needs patience

Why now

Breaking out — price is clearing the pivot now

  • Volume 10.8× the 50-day average
  • Confirmed Stage 2 uptrend

Flagged today

Context & regime

  • Market regime Mixed / range-bound
  • Trend stage Stage 2 — tradable
  • Sector RS Lagging group
  • Relative strength Building (RS 76)
  • Trend strength Strong (ADX 39)

What invalidates it

This idea is wrong below ₹698.9 (25.7% away)

Base / stop support breaks — the swing thesis is wrong below here

  • Stop / base low₹698.9
  • Pivot — failure re-entry below₹766.9

Risk distance

9.3% to stop
2.1× ATR
2.1× R:R
19.4% reward

Risk ≈ ₹71.82/share from entry ₹770.7.

Stop is wide (9%) for a swing — sizing will be small

Reasons to skip 5

Disqualifiers that apply even if the score looks good.

  • Extended 23% past the pivot — chasing risk
  • Stop is 9% away — too wide to size well for a swing
  • 3 distribution days recently — institutional selling
  • RSI 86 — overheated, prone to a shakeout
  • Elevated failure risk (78/100)

NELCO Support & Resistance Levels

Trader brief

What to understand

NELCO Entry, Stop-Loss & Targets

Research heuristic · not a buy/sell call

Low scanner score suggests weak or incomplete structure. Use this page for context, not as a primary trade candidate until the score and trend improve.

Setup quality Weak · 31.0
Entry readiness Building · 55
AI insights

AI Insights

Generated with AI

These insights are AI-generated to support your research process and should not be treated as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

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Personalised swing trade analysis powered by Gemini AI

Pattern context 52w · setup · flow

52-week range

Stage-2 ideal band  ·  Early recovery

Setup highlights

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Pattern signals from the latest scan

Smart money flow

Last 60 sessions · accumulation vs distribution

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Session flow 60 trading days
OBV trend On-balance volume · same window
·
Accumulation Distribution Neutral
Setup intelligence Overhead · VCP · radar · risk

Overhead supply

Resistance ceiling above current price

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Chase / failure risk

Honest read on exhaustion & extended moves

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Base / VCP coil

Depth, contractions & pivot distance

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Setup quality radar

Shape of the setup in one view

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Setup metrics Weak

NELCO Technical Analysis & Swing Setup

Grouped structure, momentum and risk from the latest research scan.

Weak · 31.3
Volume Profile bullish
POC₹709.55
VAH₹923.98
VAL₹669.65
Vol above POC74.0%
Institutional Activity — Moderate Accumulation
Avg cost basis₹833.49
Acc zone₹518.5–885.0
Accumulation Sessions4
CMF0.26

Structure

Trend / stage
Stage 2 (Early)
Stage 2
RS rank
76.0
Building
ADX
39.0
Strong

Momentum

RSI
86.0
Extended
Volume quality
41.0
Thin
Relative strength
Leading
Strong

Risk

Failure risk
78.0
High risk
Distribution
3 day(s)
Accumulation
Volatility
5 VCP
Contracting
More scanner fields
Sector RS 0.0%
Base 16w · 49.7%
VCP waves 5x
Vol dry-up No
Avg value ₹48.0 Cr
Failure flags Already extended, Chasing above pivot, Deep base, RSI exhaustion (100th pct, +30.1%/5d)
Peer comparison Sector peers

Sector Peer Comparison

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NELCO FAQ Common swing-trading questions

Frequently asked questions about NELCO

Is NELCO a good swing trade right now?

On Swing Edge's swing-setup framework, Nelco Ltd. (NELCO) currently grades C — mixed — needs patience. Breaking out — price is clearing the pivot now. Flagged today. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What are NELCO's support and resistance levels?

For NELCO, near-term support sits around ₹698.9 (the base/stop zone); overhead resistance is around ₹766.9 (the breakout pivot); the next resistance above is ₹920.3. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What is the breakout / pivot level for NELCO?

The breakout pivot for NELCO is around ₹766.9. Price is currently about 22.6% above the pivot. A breakout is typically confirmed on a close above the pivot with above-average volume. This is educational research, not investment advice.

Is NELCO above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

Yes — NELCO is in a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend, trading above its rising 50- and 200-day moving averages, the zone where swing setups tend to work best. This is educational research, not investment advice.

How strong is NELCO versus the market (RS rank)?

NELCO has a relative strength (RS) rank of 76 out of 100 versus the NSE universe, making it building relative strength and outperforming the broader market. Trend strength (ADX) reads 39, indicating a strong trend. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What are the entry, stop-loss and target levels for NELCO?

Reference swing levels for NELCO: entry around ₹770.7, stop-loss around ₹698.9, targets at ₹920.3 and ₹1,060.6. That works out to roughly a 2.1:1 reward-to-risk on the first target. These are reference levels for study only — this is educational research, not investment advice.

Answers are generated from Swing Edge's latest scan data and are for research only — not investment advice.

Prices and day-change figures use the last daily close from scan data dated 2026-06-19 — not live intraday NSE quotes.