Downside Risk · 2026-06-25 · Aluminium & Aluminium Products

NATIONALUM

National Aluminium Company Ltd.

Watchlist-worthy setup

Early Trend
Stage 2 RS leader VCP active

Setup readiness

Early Trend

Pivot Levels
₹440.6-447.4
Support Level
₹418.2
Resistance
₹534.2
Risk Distance
6.5% to stop

Reference levels for educational study only. Not a recommendation to buy or sell.

RS
74.0
ADX
30.0
Vol
34.0

Swing Edge Intelligence

Structured setup analysis · research only

Setup status · Constructive setup

Structure shows workable momentum characteristics with selective risks to monitor.

Relative strength Constructive
Breakout readiness Low

Bullish factors

  • Price remains under the 150DMA — longer-term trend repair still needed.

Risk factors

  • 6 distribution days recently — institutional selling

Overall view

Constructive setup — key momentum and institutional cues are broadly aligned for continued research.

Size this trade

Setup research

NATIONALUM — trend, RS & risk snapshot (not a trade recommendation)

Signal · context · invalidation · risk · skip reasons — research only

Positives

Building toward the pivot (25% below)

  • Volume 1.7× the 50-day average
  • Confirmed Stage 2 uptrend

Flagged today

Context & regime

  • Market regime Mixed / range-bound
  • Trend stage Stage 2 — tradable
  • Sector RS Lagging group
  • Relative strength Building (RS 74)
  • Trend strength Strong (ADX 30)

Negatives

This idea is wrong below ₹418.2 (-25.9% away)

Base / stop support breaks — the swing thesis is wrong below here

  • Stop / base low₹418.2
  • Pivot — failure re-entry below₹445.1

Risk distance

6.5% to stop
1.5× ATR
3.0× R:R
19.4% reward

Risk ≈ ₹29.22/share from entry ₹447.4.

Reasons to skip 1

Disqualifiers that apply even if the score looks good.

  • 6 distribution days recently — institutional selling
Setup metrics Downside Risk

NATIONALUM Technical Analysis & Swing Setup

Grouped structure, momentum and risk from the latest downside risk scan.

Volume Profile bearish
POC₹432.51
VAH₹442.85
VAL₹392.3
Vol above POC16.8%
Institutional Activity — Distribution
Avg cost basis₹401.75
Acc zone₹357.8–437.8
Accumulation Sessions4
CMF-0.22

Structure

Trend / stage
Stage 2 (Early)
Stage 2
Weekly trend
Below 30-wk MA
Below 30W
RS rank
74.0
Building
ADX
30.0
Strong

Momentum

RSI
29.0
Weakening
Recent move (10d / 20d)
-10.4% / -23.3%
Falling
Volume quality
34.0
Thin
Relative strength
Constructive
Strong

Risk

Failure risk
18.0
Low risk
ATR % / day
4.4%
Healthy
Distribution
6 day(s)
Distribution
Volatility
6 VCP
Contracting
More scanner fields
Sector RS 0.0%
Base 16w · 25.6%
VCP waves 6x
Vol dry-up No
Avg value ₹400.2 Cr
Failure flags Distribution cluster

NATIONALUM Support & Resistance Levels

AI insights

AI Insights

Generated with AI

These insights are AI-generated to support your research process and should not be treated as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

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Pattern context 52w · setup · flow

52-week range

Stage-2 ideal band  ·  Early recovery

Pattern highlights

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Pattern signals from the latest scan

Smart money flow

Last 60 sessions · accumulation vs distribution

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Session flow 60 trading days
OBV trend On-balance volume · same window
·
Accumulation Distribution Neutral
Setup intelligence Overhead · VCP · radar · risk

Overhead supply

Resistance ceiling above current price

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Chase / failure risk

Honest read on exhaustion & extended moves

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Base / VCP coil

Depth, contractions & pivot distance

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Setup quality radar

Shape of the setup in one view

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Peer comparison Sector peers

Sector Peer Comparison

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NATIONALUM FAQ Common swing-trading questions

Frequently asked questions about NATIONALUM

What are the screener observations for NATIONALUM?

On Swing Edge's swing-setup framework, National Aluminium Company Ltd. (NATIONALUM) currently grades B — workable setup. Building toward the pivot (25% below). Flagged today. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What are NATIONALUM's support and resistance levels?

For NATIONALUM, near-term support sits around ₹418.2 (the base/stop zone); overhead resistance is around ₹445.1 (the breakout pivot); the next resistance above is ₹534.2. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What is the breakout / pivot level for NATIONALUM?

The breakout pivot for NATIONALUM is around ₹445.1. Price is about 25.4% below the pivot and still building toward it. A breakout is typically confirmed on a close above the pivot with above-average volume. This is educational research, not investment advice.

Is NATIONALUM above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

Yes — NATIONALUM is in a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend, trading above its rising 50- and 200-day moving averages, the zone where swing setups tend to work best. This is educational research, not investment advice.

How strong is NATIONALUM versus the market (RS rank)?

NATIONALUM has a relative strength (RS) rank of 74 out of 100 versus the NSE universe, making it building relative strength and outperforming the broader market. Trend strength (ADX) reads 30, indicating a strong trend. This is educational research, not investment advice.

Answers are generated from Swing Edge's latest scan data and are for research only — not investment advice.

Prices and day-change figures use the last daily close from scan data dated 2026-06-25 — not live intraday NSE quotes.