Downside Risk · 2026-06-25 · Pesticides & Agrochemicals

UPL

UPL Ltd.

Watchlist-worthy setup

Late Stage
VCP active Handle

Setup readiness

Late Stage

Pivot Levels
₹661.5-686.0
Support Level
₹654.7
Resistance
₹819.1
Risk Distance
4.6% to stop

Reference levels for educational study only. Not a recommendation to buy or sell.

RS
36.0
ADX
21.0
Vol
27.0

Swing Edge Intelligence

Structured setup analysis · research only

Setup status · Constructive setup

Structure shows workable momentum characteristics with selective risks to monitor.

Relative strength Weak
Breakout readiness Low

Bullish factors

  • Price trades below the long-term trend anchor (200DMA).

Risk factors

  • 3 distribution days recently — institutional selling
  • Heavy overhead supply (97%) — trapped sellers above
  • Not in a Stage 2 uptrend (Stage 4)

Overall view

Constructive setup — key momentum and institutional cues are broadly aligned for continued research.

Size this trade

Setup research

UPL — trend, RS & risk snapshot (not a trade recommendation)

Signal · context · invalidation · risk · skip reasons — research only

Positives

Building toward the pivot (13% below)

  • Handle formed after the prior advance

Flagged today

Context & regime

  • Market regime Mixed / range-bound
  • Trend stage Stage 4 — caution
  • Sector RS Lagging group
  • Relative strength Lagging (RS 36)
  • Trend strength Weak (ADX 21)

Negatives

This idea is wrong below ₹654.7 (-10.9% away)

Base / stop support breaks — the swing thesis is wrong below here

  • Stop / base low₹654.7
  • Pivot — failure re-entry below₹682.6

Risk distance

4.6% to stop
1.7× ATR
4.2× R:R
19.4% reward

Risk ≈ ₹31.28/share from entry ₹686.0.

Reasons to skip 3

Disqualifiers that apply even if the score looks good.

  • 3 distribution days recently — institutional selling
  • Heavy overhead supply (97%) — trapped sellers above
  • Not in a Stage 2 uptrend (Stage 4)
Setup metrics Downside Risk

UPL Technical Analysis & Swing Setup

Grouped structure, momentum and risk from the latest downside risk scan.

Volume Profile bearish
POC₹643.45
VAH₹664.8
VAL₹620.91
Vol above POC39.4%
Institutional Activity — Distribution
Avg cost basis₹660.62
Acc zone₹622.7–682.6
Accumulation Sessions2
CMF-0.22

Structure

Trend / stage
Stage 4
Base
Weekly trend
Below 30-wk MA
Below 30W
RS rank
36.0
Weak
ADX
21.0
Weak

Momentum

RSI
34.0
Weakening
Recent move (10d / 20d)
-0.6% / -10.0%
Neutral
Volume quality
27.0
Thin
Relative strength
Lagging
Neutral

Risk

Failure risk
42.0
Moderate
ATR % / day
2.6%
Moderate
Distribution
3 day(s)
Distribution
Volatility
5 VCP
Contracting
More scanner fields
Sector RS 0.0%
Base 16w · 17.2%
VCP waves 5x
Vol dry-up No
Avg value ₹118.3 Cr
Failure flags Overhead supply, RS laggard

UPL Support & Resistance Levels

AI insights

AI Insights

Generated with AI

These insights are AI-generated to support your research process and should not be treated as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

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Personalised swing trade analysis powered by Gemini AI

Pattern context 52w · setup · flow

52-week range

Stage-2 ideal band  ·  Early recovery

Pattern highlights

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Pattern signals from the latest scan

Smart money flow

Last 60 sessions · accumulation vs distribution

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Session flow 60 trading days
OBV trend On-balance volume · same window
·
Accumulation Distribution Neutral
Setup intelligence Overhead · VCP · radar · risk

Overhead supply

Resistance ceiling above current price

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Chase / failure risk

Honest read on exhaustion & extended moves

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Base / VCP coil

Depth, contractions & pivot distance

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Setup quality radar

Shape of the setup in one view

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Peer comparison Sector peers

Sector Peer Comparison

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UPL FAQ Common swing-trading questions

Frequently asked questions about UPL

What are the screener observations for UPL?

On Swing Edge's swing-setup framework, UPL Ltd. (UPL) currently grades D — low-quality — likely skip. Building toward the pivot (13% below). Flagged today. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What are UPL's support and resistance levels?

For UPL, near-term support sits around ₹654.7 (the base/stop zone); overhead resistance is around ₹682.6 (the breakout pivot); the next resistance above is ₹819.1. This is educational research, not investment advice.

What is the breakout / pivot level for UPL?

The breakout pivot for UPL is around ₹682.6. Price is about 13.5% below the pivot and still building toward it. A breakout is typically confirmed on a close above the pivot with above-average volume. This is educational research, not investment advice.

Is UPL above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

UPL is currently in Stage 4, not a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend, so trend support from the key moving averages is weaker than ideal for a swing entry. This is educational research, not investment advice.

How strong is UPL versus the market (RS rank)?

UPL has a relative strength (RS) rank of 36 out of 100 versus the NSE universe, making it lagging the broader market on relative strength. Trend strength (ADX) reads 21, indicating a building trend. This is educational research, not investment advice.

Answers are generated from Swing Edge's latest scan data and are for research only — not investment advice.

Prices and day-change figures use the last daily close from scan data dated 2026-06-25 — not live intraday NSE quotes.